Amazonas FC vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amazonas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
AFC
29%
23%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
FAS
2 - 0
AFC
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 0
FAS
62%
20%
19%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
IRA
0 - 1
AFC
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
7 - 0
JCF
80%
13%
7%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
POR
13%
18%
69%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAO
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 1
NAU
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
23%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |