Amazonas FC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
28.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
8º
1º
3
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amazonas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 2
AFC
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
0 - 2
AFC
64%
21%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
2 - 0
VOL
25%
26%
48%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
PAY
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BOT
1 - 2
VOL
39%
26%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 3
PAY
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PAY
1 - 0
BOT
46%
29%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
VOL
2 - 1
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 1
AFC
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |