Amarante vs Vilar de Perdizes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
5.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
35
4º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 1
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
PED
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
AMA
11%
17%
72%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
AMA
12%
20%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
4 - 1
DUM
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Vilar de Perdizes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
1 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
40%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 2
VPE
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VPE
2 - 2
PEV
20%
21%
59%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
VPE
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
VPE
2 - 2
BRI
42%
22%
36%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |