Amarante vs Vila Flor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GON
1 - 1
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 3
SCF
26%
24%
49%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AMA
4 - 1
PER
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMA
40%
27%
34%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
FAM
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Flor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
COI
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SCF
4 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |