Amarante vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
4º
27
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LUS
1 - 0
AMA
47%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
0 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 0
AMA
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 0
SAO
62%
23%
16%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
SCP
6 - 0
AMA
90%
8%
3%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FAF
1 - 0
BRA
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
LUS
46%
26%
27%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRA
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
TRO
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |