Amarante vs Sousense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
8 - 0
SRO
78%
14%
8%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SOB
2 - 1
AMA
30%
25%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 3
GON
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
AMA
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CIN
2 - 1
AMA
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sousense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GON
0 - 1
SOU
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
TIR
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 1
SOU
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
COI
46%
26%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |