Amarante vs Sobrado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
CIN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 3
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PED
3 - 3
AMA
45%
26%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sobrado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SOB
1 - 0
CIN
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PED
1 - 1
SOB
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SOB
0 - 2
SAL
35%
27%
38%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SOB
3 - 0
SOU
33%
25%
42%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
SOB
63%
23%
14%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |