Amarante vs AD Sanjoanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
5º
4º
12
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
6 - 1
JDL
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 17 | 40 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAF
4 - 1
AMA
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
AMA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
AMA
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAN
70%
19%
10%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 4
FAR
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUS
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |