Amarante vs Penalva Castelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
2 - 1
AMA
8%
16%
76%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CIN
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEX
3 - 1
AMA
74%
18%
9%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 4
ESP
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 5
AMA
21%
20%
60%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Penalva Castelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
MAR
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
0 - 1
PEN
9%
15%
76%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
16%
19%
66%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
RDA
0 - 0
PEN
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
UNM
7%
16%
77%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | +2 |