Amarante vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+111%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 3
VIZ
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
CES
0 - 0
AMA
13%
22%
65%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 1
GAF
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
COI
2 - 1
AMA
27%
26%
47%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
PEN
0 - 0
PAR
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
CIN
44%
26%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |