Amarante vs Padroense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
AMA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
6 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 1
AMA
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAD
2 - 0
AMA
20%
24%
55%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
Padroense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAD
2 - 3
OLI
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
4 - 2
PAD
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 0
MAD
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
3 - 2
PAD
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 4
PAD
42%
24%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |