Amarante vs Os Limianos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
1º
5º
1º
10
2º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 3 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEV
0 - 0
AMA
28%
28%
45%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ODO
0 - 1
AMA
22%
26%
52%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
SAL
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
0 - 2
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Os Limianos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OSL
2 - 2
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 1
OSL
32%
27%
42%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
MON
0 - 1
OSL
34%
27%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
OSL
0 - 0
PEV
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
OSL
0 - 3
TIR
49%
26%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |