Amarante vs Monção analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
26
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 97.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
5 - 0
BRA
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DUM
1 - 1
AMA
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 2
PEV
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
AMA
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
BRI
78%
14%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Monção
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MON
2 - 4
VIL
26%
22%
52%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
MON
51%
22%
27%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MON
0 - 0
VIA
15%
19%
67%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
MON
70%
16%
14%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 4
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -2 |