Amarante vs Merelinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TMO
0 - 4
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
47 | 14 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
MAR
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PED
2 - 3
AMA
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
GAN
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
0 - 1
AMA
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
MIR
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
PON
0 - 1
MER
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
PED
0 - 2
MER
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MER
2 - 0
OSL
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |