Amarante vs JD Lajense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
FAF
4 - 1
AMA
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
0 - 0
AMA
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ELE
0 - 2
AMA
10%
19%
71%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
LUS
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 4
AMA
23%
25%
53%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
JD Lajense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JDL
2 - 1
FAB
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 42 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
JDL
1 - 3
MOR
4%
10%
86%
|
11 | 71 | 60 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JDL
3 - 2
SRO
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |