Amarante vs Infesta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAF
2 - 2
AMA
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 2
RIB
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
OSL
2 - 0
AMA
51%
25%
23%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 1
MIR
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PAD
0 - 2
AMA
31%
26%
43%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Infesta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
INF
0 - 0
VAR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TIR
2 - 0
INF
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
3 - 0
INF
71%
19%
10%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
INF
1 - 1
FAF
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RIB
3 - 1
INF
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | -1 |