Amarante vs Perafita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
AMA
40%
27%
34%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
2 - 1
FAM
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
JOA
2 - 0
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
AMA
1 - 0
GON
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 1
AMA
70%
19%
12%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |