Amarante vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
COI
0 - 0
AMA
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
0 - 1
GON
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 2
AMA
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 0
TON
19%
26%
55%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 2
AMA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
OLI
81%
14%
5%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 25 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
PAR
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | 0 |