Amarante vs Dumiense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+114%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
1º
31
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
89% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
6º
|
82% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
82% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 34 |
8º
|
68% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
68% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
49% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PEV
0 - 1
AMA
21%
21%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BRI
1 - 1
AMA
8%
15%
77%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
2 - 0
SMA
37%
28%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 0
AMA
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Dumiense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
3 - 0
BRA
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 1
REA
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
DUM
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MOU
0 - 5
DUM
23%
21%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
DUM
0 - 1
PEV
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |