Amarante vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 2
AMA
32%
24%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
1 - 0
GIN
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
AMA
57%
23%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SFU
2 - 0
AMA
17%
20%
63%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 4
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAN
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 2
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 0
COI
7%
15%
78%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +5 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
VAL
2 - 0
CAS
76%
14%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 4
LUS
8%
15%
78%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | -1 |