Amarante vs Caniçal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
AMA
28%
28%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
5 - 0
TMO
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
AMA
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 0
PED
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
PEN
1 - 0
AMA
73%
19%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAR
11%
21%
68%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
PED
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
GAN
3 - 1
CAN
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 1
FEL
23%
23%
54%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 0
CAN
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | 0 |