Amarante vs Berco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MIR
1 - 0
AMA
31%
27%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
2 - 3
PAR
45%
29%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
AMA
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMA
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TIR
0 - 1
AMA
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 1
TIR
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 2
MIR
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SMP
2 - 1
BSC
34%
22%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 2
PAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
BSC
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |