Amarante vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AMA
3 - 0
SOB
62%
21%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GON
1 - 1
AMA
50%
26%
24%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
0 - 2
CIN
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
0 - 3
AMA
47%
26%
27%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
RIO
3 - 1
ARO
56%
26%
18%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARO
3 - 2
BOA
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 0
CHA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
0 - 1
SCP
18%
23%
59%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |