Amarante vs Aliança Gandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+97%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
FEL
0 - 1
AMA
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
AMA
3 - 0
TRO
36%
25%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
AMA
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 1
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
AMA
28%
28%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aliança Gandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GAN
2 - 1
MAR
15%
23%
62%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PED
1 - 2
GAN
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GAN
4 - 1
TMO
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GAN
0 - 2
FEL
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TRO
4 - 1
GAN
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |