Amarante vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
AMA
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 3
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAM
3 - 0
AMA
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 0
TIR
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RIB
1 - 3
AMA
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ADO
1 - 0
VIZ
24%
26%
49%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FEL
1 - 0
ADO
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 3
VIL
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
3 - 2
VAR
25%
27%
48%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |