Amarante vs Recreativa de Lamelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
5º
1º
24
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
0 - 2
AMA
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
AMA
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
AMA
3 - 0
SAO
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FFC
1 - 2
AMA
19%
25%
56%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
0 - 0
GON
68%
20%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 1
ADM
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ACD
2 - 0
REB
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | +9 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
ACD
77%
16%
8%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ODO
2 - 1
ACD
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 5
SAL
8%
14%
79%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | -1 |