Amanecer vs UC La Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PUE
1 - 2
AMA
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
COR
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARR
0 - 0
AMA
54%
24%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
4 - 1
UDF
58%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UC La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
UCL
2 - 0
OLI
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
UCL
57%
22%
21%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
UCL
1 - 1
MON
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
EXT
3 - 2
UCL
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UCL
0 - 0
DBN
19%
25%
56%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | +1 |