Amanecer vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CIU
2 - 1
AMA
34%
24%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AMA
2 - 0
TOR
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 3
MOR
64%
20%
17%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 0
AMA
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
0 - 0
PLA
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
PLA
47%
22%
30%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 0
ADV
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TRU
3 - 0
PLA
55%
24%
21%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |