Amanecer vs Moralo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 1
AMA
24%
24%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
AMA
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
EXT
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
AMA
3 - 2
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
VAL
53%
23%
24%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
EMD
0 - 2
MOR
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 1
TRU
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CDD
2 - 4
MOR
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VAL
2 - 2
MOR
39%
25%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |