Amanecer vs Moralo B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHI
34%
24%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 2
AMA
26%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AMA
3 - 0
PLA
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
AMA
41%
23%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARR
5 - 0
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moralo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
CFC
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
2 - 2
MOR
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOR
30%
22%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
18%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
SPR
63%
18%
18%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |