Amanecer vs Guareña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CAT
3 - 2
AMA
7%
15%
78%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
6 - 0
LAS
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
3 - 0
CFJ
49%
23%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
AMA
22%
23%
55%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AMA
2 - 2
CHI
55%
22%
23%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 0
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
GUA
80%
13%
7%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
5 - 0
PIO
51%
23%
27%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
5 - 1
GUA
47%
23%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDZ
36%
22%
42%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |