Amanecer vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PLA
3 - 2
AMA
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 2
MOR
37%
25%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 1
AMA
77%
16%
7%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 2
CDB
13%
20%
68%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
AMA
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CDZ
0 - 4
OLI
23%
24%
53%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VAL
1 - 1
CDZ
40%
25%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CDZ
1 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CDZ
1 - 2
EXT
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DBN
6 - 0
CDZ
77%
16%
7%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |