Amanecer vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COR
1 - 1
AMA
80%
14%
6%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAL
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EXT
3 - 1
AMA
57%
21%
23%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CPC
2 - 0
AMA
80%
15%
6%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 3
DBN
24%
26%
50%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 0
VAL
37%
25%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
EMD
5 - 1
CAS
40%
26%
35%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 1
TRU
23%
23%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
CDD
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 3
CAS
64%
21%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |