Amadense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
AMA
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
EST
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
CDC
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
AMA
43%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 1
LAG
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
36%
25%
38%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
LAG
25%
24%
52%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |