Amadense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
50.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
AMA
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -5 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PIR
5 - 0
AMA
78%
13%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 0
LAG
36%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
OSE
1 - 0
AMA
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
OSE
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
RIP
2 - 1
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
BOC
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
OSE
4 - 2
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |