Amadense vs Dorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
48.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
EST
36%
23%
42%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 4
ITA
25%
26%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 1
EST
53%
22%
26%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 8 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
CON
14%
20%
66%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 2
DOR
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |