Amadense vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
AMA
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
AMA
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 3
CON
16%
22%
63%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 3
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
SER
19%
23%
59%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 0
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
DOR
34%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |