Amadense vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
8.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
DOR
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
EST
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 4
ITA
25%
26%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -3 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
ITA
14%
21%
66%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
ABS
77%
14%
9%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |