Amadense vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
9%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
CON
3 - 1
AMA
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
2 - 0
DOR
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 1
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
AFP
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
LAG
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
15%
20%
65%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFP
1 - 0
ABS
79%
13%
8%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |