Alzola vs Orcasitas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
52.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 3
ALZ
30%
23%
47%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ALZ
4 - 3
YSB
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CFM
1 - 2
ALZ
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ALZ
0 - 4
MBP
9%
14%
77%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 0
ALZ
79%
13%
8%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Orcasitas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 3
ARG
46%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ORC
1 - 2
CAS
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HUM
3 - 2
ORC
45%
23%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
ORC
5 - 0
LUL
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MDE
1 - 2
ORC
37%
23%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |