UD Alzira vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CRE
3 - 1
ALZ
28%
29%
43%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALZ
0 - 2
TOR
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MUR
3 - 0
ALZ
32%
29%
39%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
ALZ
1 - 0
JOV
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALZ
30%
30%
41%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAG
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
VIL
66%
21%
14%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
BOR
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
REQ
1 - 0
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEV
62%
21%
18%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |