UD Alzira vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALZ
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ALZ
0 - 0
HOS
30%
28%
42%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
GIM
0 - 1
ALZ
56%
24%
19%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ALZ
1 - 1
FIG
26%
29%
46%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
SAB
0 - 0
ALZ
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
YEC
0 - 0
MUR
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
MLL
1 - 1
MUR
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MUR
2 - 0
NOV
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
HOS
1 - 1
MUR
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |