UD Alzira vs Paterna CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
1 - 1
ALZ
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALZ
3 - 1
JOV
62%
22%
16%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ACE
0 - 1
ALZ
23%
23%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALZ
0 - 0
NOV
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUC
3 - 0
ALZ
64%
20%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Paterna CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 3
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATZ
2 - 0
PAT
40%
25%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 2
CRE
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
SAG
13%
23%
64%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | -3 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ROD
2 - 1
PAT
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |