Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 3-3
UD Alzira vs CF Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALZ
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ALZ
1 - 1
TOR
60%
25%
16%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CRE
2 - 0
ALZ
54%
25%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
ALZ
2 - 1
VAL
60%
25%
16%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
PAT
0 - 1
ALZ
50%
26%
24%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
LOR
2 - 0
ALI
70%
20%
11%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CFC
3 - 0
LOR
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
LOR
1 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LOR
0 - 1
UDC
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 2
LOR
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |