Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
UD Alzira vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ALZ
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
NUC
1 - 0
ALZ
29%
27%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALZ
3 - 0
TOR
58%
24%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALZ
2 - 1
ACE
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
RIB
3 - 2
ALZ
25%
29%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ALZ
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LOJ
3 - 1
ANT
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 3
LOJ
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 1
VEL
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 2
LOJ
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |