AlzanoCene vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ALZ
0 - 0
ABN
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 2
ALZ
83%
12%
4%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2000 |
TRE
2 - 1
ALZ
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
ALZ
1 - 1
BRE
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
SAM
3 - 2
ALZ
89%
9%
2%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAM
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
2 - 1
PRO
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ASL
1 - 2
GEN
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASL
4 - 1
CES
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |