AlzanoCene vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
ARZ
57%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
ACL
4 - 2
ALZ
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
SPA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 2
ALZ
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ALZ
3 - 3
CES
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
PRO
33%
26%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
CAR
2 - 0
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |