Alzano Virescit vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
53.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 2
LIV
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ASL
5 - 1
ALV
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 1
SPA
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALV
51%
25%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 0
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 1
TRI
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 1
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 2
TRI
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
TRI
1 - 3
SPE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |