Alzano Virescit vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
ATL
2 - 1
ALV
82%
13%
5%
|
46 | 74 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
MES
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
MES
0 - 2
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 0
MES
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MES
1 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
MES
1 - 0
BAR
52%
23%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |