Alzano Virescit vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
40.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alzano Virescit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
MOD
3 - 2
ALV
59%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VAR
1 - 1
ALV
63%
22%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ALV
1 - 0
USA
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
ABN
0 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 3
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
63%
23%
15%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 3
ASL
41%
27%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |